Dynamics of Religious Group Growth and Survival

We model and analyze the dynamics of religious group membership and size. A group is distinguished by its strictness, which determines how much time group members are expected to spend contributing to the group. Individuals differ in their rate of return for time spent outside of their religious gro...

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Bibliographic Details
Authors: Chen, Tongzhou (Author) ; McBride, Michael 1973- (Author) ; Short, Martin B. (Author)
Format: Electronic Article
Language:English
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Published: Wiley-Blackwell [2019]
In: Journal for the scientific study of religion
Year: 2019, Volume: 58, Issue: 1, Pages: 67-92
Standardized Subjects / Keyword chains:B Religious group / Growth / Fremdgruppe / Interpersonal relationship / Communication
RelBib Classification:AD Sociology of religion; religious policy
ZB Sociology
Further subjects:B Competition
B Religious Affiliation
B Pluralism
B Religious Growth
B population dynamics
Online Access: Presumably Free Access
Volltext (Resolving-System)
Volltext (doi)

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520 |a We model and analyze the dynamics of religious group membership and size. A group is distinguished by its strictness, which determines how much time group members are expected to spend contributing to the group. Individuals differ in their rate of return for time spent outside of their religious group. We construct a utility function that individuals attempt to maximize, then find a Nash equilibrium for religious group participation with a heterogeneous population. We then model dynamics of group size by including birth, death, and switching of individuals between groups. Group switching depends on the strictness preferences of individuals and their probability of encountering members of other groups. We show that in the case of only two groups-one with finite strictness and the other with zero-there is a parameter combination that determines whether the nonzero strictness group can survive over time, which is more difficult at higher strictness levels. We also show that a high birth rate can allow even the strictest groups to survive. Finally, we consider cases of several groups, gaining insight into strategic choices of strictness values and displaying the rich behavior of the model. 
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