The Changing Age Distribution and Theological Attitudes of Catholic Priests Revisited
Hoge et al. (1988) analyze the changing age distribution and theological attitudes of Catholic priests. They conclude that Schoenherr and Sorensen (1982) overestimated the number of older priests in 1985 and incorrectly projected a shift toward conservative attitudes between 1970 and 1985. Based upo...
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| Format: | Electronic Article |
| Language: | English |
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| Published: |
[publisher not identified]
1992
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| In: |
Sociological analysis
Year: 1992, Volume: 53, Issue: 1, Pages: 73-87 |
| Online Access: |
Volltext (JSTOR) Volltext (lizenzpflichtig) Volltext (lizenzpflichtig) |
| Parallel Edition: | Non-electronic
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| 520 | |a Hoge et al. (1988) analyze the changing age distribution and theological attitudes of Catholic priests. They conclude that Schoenherr and Sorensen (1982) overestimated the number of older priests in 1985 and incorrectly projected a shift toward conservative attitudes between 1970 and 1985. Based upon newly available data, we conclude that Schoenherr and Sorensen did not overestimate the number of older priests. We also argue that Hoge et al. did not use the appropriate analysis to test whether shifts in theological attitudes were due to a cohort effect or an aging effect. We reanalyze Hoge's data and conclude that the source of the error in the original Schoenherr-Sorensen projections of theological attitudes is more complex than specified by Hoge et al. Specifically, while Hoge et al correctly identify a cohort effect that helps explain the inaccuracy of the original Schoenherr-Sorensen projections, Hoge et al. incorrectly reject the influence of an aging effect. Based upon the simultaneous operation of the cohort and aging effects, as well as the growing conservatism of younger priests, we conclude that an increasingly conservative clergy is to be expected. | ||
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