Getting the context right in quantitative historical analysis: the case of investure controversy

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Møller, Jørgen 1979- (Author)
Format: Electronic Article
Language:English
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Published: University of Chicago Press 2024
In: The journal of politics
Year: 2024, Volume: 86, Issue: 3, Pages: 1083-1086
Online Access: Volltext (lizenzpflichtig)

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300 |b Quantitative historical analysis must be nested in a qualitative understanding of the empirical context if it is to be credible. Bruce Bueno de Mesquita and Ethan Bueno de Mesquita’s analysis of the consequences of the Investiture Controversy (1075–1122) for the development of lay political authority and economic development illustrates this. They portray the Investiture Controversy and the concordats it produced as strengthening lay rulers’ power over bishop appointment, but the dominant view among historians is that it did the opposite. They also operationalize bishop alignment in a problematic way, which makes it very difficult to draw firm conclusions from their quantitative analysis. Finally, they project a modern image of international agreements and state power onto a medieval period that looked very different, and their supporting qualitative evidence suffers from selection bias. The example shows how political scientists must do solid historical spadework before they model and interpret their data. 
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