Religion and terrorism: evidence from ramadan fasting

Do intense religious experiences increase or decrease terrorism? We argue that fasting during the month of Ramadan offers an ideal setting for studying this question empirically. Reasons are twofold: first, daily fasting from dawn to sunset during Ramadan is considered mandatory for most Muslims. Se...

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Bibliographic Details
Authors: Hodler, Roland 1975- (Author) ; Raschky, Paul A. (Author) ; Strittmatter, Anthony (Author)
Format: Electronic Article
Language:English
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Published: SAGE Publ. 2024
In: Journal of peace research
Year: 2024, Volume: 61, Issue: 3, Pages: 351-365
Further subjects:B Statistical analysis
B Terrorism
B Religion
B Politics
Online Access: Volltext (kostenfrei)
Description
Summary:Do intense religious experiences increase or decrease terrorism? We argue that fasting during the month of Ramadan offers an ideal setting for studying this question empirically. Reasons are twofold: first, daily fasting from dawn to sunset during Ramadan is considered mandatory for most Muslims. Second, the Islamic Hijri calendar is not synchronized with the solar cycle. Therefore, the daily fasting duration during Ramadan is exogenous once we control for latitude and the seasonality of Ramadan, which we can do by using district and country-year fixed effects. Focusing on predominantly Muslim countries, we document three main findings: first, longer and more intense Ramadan fasting has a robust negative effect on the likelihood of local terrorist events and terror deaths over the next year. Second, this negative effect is particularly pronounced for operationally more difficult attack types, which are more dependent on public support for terrorism. Third, using survey data, we show that longer and more intense Ramadan fasting lowers the share of respondents who consider religiously motivated violence to be justified. These findings imply that intense religious experiences may not be a breeding ground for terrorism. Quite the opposite, they can decrease public support for terrorism and, consequently, terrorist attacks.
Item Description:Literaturverzeichnis: Seite 364-365
ISSN:1460-3578
Contains:Enthalten in: Journal of peace research
Persistent identifiers:DOI: 10.1177/00223433221145641