How Not to Know the Principle of Induction

Abstract In The Problems of Philosophy, Bertrand Russell presents a justification of induction based on a principle he refers to as “the principle of induction.” Owing to the ambiguity of the notion of probability, the principle of induction may be interpreted in two different ways. If interpreted i...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:International journal for the study of skepticism
Main Author: Sankey, Howard
Format: Electronic Article
Language:English
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Published: Brill 2021
In: International journal for the study of skepticism
Year: 2021, Volume: 11, Issue: 3, Pages: 243-254
Standardized Subjects / Keyword chains:B Russell, Bertrand 1872-1970, The problems of philosophy / Induction / Probabilism
IxTheo Classification:AB Philosophy of religion; criticism of religion; atheism
VA Philosophy
Further subjects:B circularity
B justification of induction
B David Hume
B principle of induction
B Bertrand Russell
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Summary:Abstract In The Problems of Philosophy, Bertrand Russell presents a justification of induction based on a principle he refers to as “the principle of induction.” Owing to the ambiguity of the notion of probability, the principle of induction may be interpreted in two different ways. If interpreted in terms of the subjective interpretation of probability, the principle of induction may be known a priori to be true. But it is unclear how this should give us any confidence in our use of induction, since induction is applied to the external world outside our minds. If the principle is interpreted in light of the objective interpretation of induction, it cannot be known to be true a priori, since it applies to frequencies that occur in the world outside the mind, and these cannot be known without recourse to experience. Russell’s principle of induction therefore fails to provide a satisfactory justification of induction.
ISSN:2210-5700
Contains:Enthalten in: International journal for the study of skepticism
Persistent identifiers:DOI: 10.1163/22105700-bja10020